Prominent election guru Nate Silver called the race for the White House a “pure toss-up” Sunday as he gave ex-President Donald Trump a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in his ...

Silver said his model is a “direct descendant” of the FiveThirtyEight election forecast. On Sunday, the election guru said that any momentum Trump had in October had “petered out in November.” ...

Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for "cheating" in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election -- accusing them of recycling some results to keep ...

Silver's prediction for the election was that the race was a "pure toss-up." "When I say the odds in this year's presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I'm not ...

Silver identifies three key issues—economic strain, immigration concerns, and Harris' connection to the administration's ...

In a Sunday post on his blog Silver Bulletin, Silver analyzed the implications of a recent New York Times/Siena College poll, which had Trump overtaking Harris nationally, leading her by 48 points ...

During the 2016 election, Silver’s model suggested a likely victory for Hillary Clinton but gave Trump around a 30% chance of winning – much higher than most other prognosticators. Election ...

The bump came partially as a result of Sunday’s New York Times/Sienna poll, which Silver has as one of the highest-rated pollsters. Silver’s newest rating has Trump with a 63.8% probability, ...

Polling guru Nate Silver and his election prediction model gave Donald Trump a 63.8% chance of winning the Electoral College in an update to his latest election forecast on Sunday, after a NYT ...

Statistician, author and founder of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver, on September 28, 2015, in New York City. This week, Silver noted that despite favorable polls for Trump in key swing states, he ...

There are many problems with the Harris-Trump polls, including pollsters ‘herding’ to disguise potential mistakes. But like any other objective data, polls are better than spin, hype, and ...

FiveThirtyEight became famous for its “forecasts” from founder Nate Silver. But the website (where I worked from 2017 to 2021) was trying to do much more than predict presidential election ...