President Trump’s trade war has traders scaling up their bets on interest-rate cuts. As of early Friday, Federal-fund futures ...

Odds of a recession jumped to 54% on the betting platform Kalshi following Trump's tariffs. Stocks tanked Thursday on trade ...

Morgan Stanley said on Thursday it expects the U.S Federal Reserve will not cut rates this year due to potential elevated ...

The U.S. reciprocal tariffs will stymie economic growth and lift inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to start lowering ...

Citi analysts believe the elevated tariffs will persist for at least the next few months, which is expected to raise inflation significantly. But a softening labor market will ultimately sway the Fed ...

The new forecast sees the Fed lowering rates in July, September and November – an increase from earlier bets on two cuts this ...

Fixed income markets expect the Federal Open Market Committee to hold interest rates steady on May 7. The meeting could tee up a June cut, which markets view as likely.

Currently, the benchmark federal funds rate controlled by the central bank is between 4.25% and 4.50%. If the polled ...

So everybody, all the pundits were wrong when they said it's inflationary, it's really recessionary, so it should have been paired with the tax cuts, we were talking about that earlier. But the reason ...

Data shows markets are pricing in four rate cuts in 2025 — 0.25 bps each in June, July, September and December. Rate cuts ...

Explore why the Fed may cut interest rates just 0–1 times in 2025 despite market expectations, with insights on QE, QT, and economic trends.

President Trump’s trade war has traders scaling up their bets on interest-rate cuts. Federal-fund futures now show that ...